Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.007040 0.007915 0.008871 0.009996 0.011287 0.012725 0.014454
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.005545 0.006706 0.008084 0.009852 0.012075 0.014795 0.018406
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004794 0.006081 0.007695 0.009889 0.012824 0.016662 0.022130
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004176 0.005497 0.007228 0.009690 0.013156 0.017935 0.025158
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003837 0.005219 0.007099 0.009887 0.013994 0.019943 0.029439
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003499 0.004895 0.006856 0.009872 0.014495 0.021489 0.033215
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003106 0.004447 0.006383 0.009451 0.014316 0.021955 0.035318
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002869 0.004201 0.006177 0.009400 0.014685 0.023298 0.039020
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002783 0.004170 0.006285 0.009844 0.015887 0.026128 0.045699
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002531 0.003861 0.005932 0.009499 0.015725 0.026607 0.048168
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002332 0.003618 0.005661 0.009261 0.015713 0.027332 0.051186
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002205 0.003480 0.005548 0.009278 0.016146 0.028907 0.056103
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002145 0.003453 0.005623 0.009646 0.017294 0.032031 0.064858
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002000 0.003271 0.005423 0.009503 0.017467 0.033292 0.069896
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001898 0.003156 0.005327 0.009538 0.017984 0.035308 0.076972
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001773 0.002989 0.005124 0.009348 0.018021 0.036313 0.081852
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001713 0.002933 0.005118 0.009537 0.018858 0.039151 0.091731
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001630 0.002830 0.005015 0.009522 0.019260 0.041072 0.099670
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001504 0.002640 0.004733 0.009119 0.018769 0.040873 0.101960
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001432 0.002545 0.004628 0.009069 0.019061 0.042562 0.109763
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001421 0.002564 0.004743 0.009495 0.020483 0.047205 0.126999
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001326 0.002415 0.004517 0.009165 0.020099 0.047258 0.130636
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001249 0.002297 0.004344 0.008936 0.019935 0.047860 0.136109